Not so much a problem in another referendum but a much bigger problem in a GE is the Leave lobby being split. The latest poll has UKIP at 7% and Farage’s new Brexit Party at 6%. That’s a far higher total Eurosceptic vote (i.e. 13%) than ever before and will likely grow as the Brexit Party, that’s hardly off the ground yet, registers with more voters. However, the split of the Eurosceptic vote between the two parties is in no Brexiteer’s favour. The additional complication is that it would not be good if both took votes from a Eurosceptic MP from one of the main two parties and whom had a more realistic chance of winning the seat. Come the next GE perhaps like never before very careful tactical voting could make a huge difference.
All that said, assuming that the MEP elections come before a GE and given that such is based on proportional representation those elections should give us quite a good barometer of the size of current opinion and voting inertia re Brexit.
_______________________________________________________________________________________
During the Covid-19 Epidemic I will be wearing a mask and goggles while posting so that if I become infected I won't spread it to you.
.
