Election Weather

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  • #38565
    Ed PEd P
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      @edps
      Forumite Points: 39

      I’ll bet with his head for detail 😱, I would not be surprised if Boris and Conservative Central Office are starting to regret turning down the pleas from the Opposition for earlier term-time elections. The moderately confident forecast for Dec 12 is now for it to be unseasonably cold with strong chance of snow in the Conservative heartlands of the south!

      [edit] If you read this Lee, I could not set the text colour to blue, on ‘unseasonably cold’

      #38574
      The VFM AddictThe VFM Addict
      Participant
        @thevfmaddict
        Forumite Points: 0

        I would have thought the exact reverse, Ed.   Bad weather affects all voters alike and the records show that during inclement weather it tends to be Labour voters rather than Tory voters that stay at home.

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        #38576
        Ed PEd P
        Participant
          @edps
          Forumite Points: 39

          It is an age thing – older (generally Conservative) voters are more frail and susceptible to the cold and fear breaking bones on icy pavements. The other factor is that North of Watford Gap, snow and ice are expected to happen every winter and they have the stocks and machines to handle it. In the South,  you are lucky to find a council possessing a dozer, never mind strategic stocks of salt in your neighbourhood. Even a whiff of snow/ice causes a raft of train/bus cancellations in this area.

          #38579
          Bob WilliamsBob Williams
          Participant
            @bullstuff2
            Forumite Points: 0

            Ed I recall working in the South during Army service and seeing plenty of snow in Hants, Wilts and Dorset. In 1965 IIRCC, from Middle Wallop we were flying Scout and Sioux Helicopters across snowbound farmland, dropping supplies to farmers and blowing snow away from stranded animals with the rotors. The AAC then was a poor relation, but we improvised our own ‘snowploughs’: Land Rovers with six foot tables strapped to the front bumpers, clearing the apron in front of the hangars, to allow take – offs. Pushing hay and other stuff out of freezing helicopter bays was an interesting test of morale!

            I think that your Tory voter will still be determined to overcome the weather, and I don’t believe that they will all be Seniors either. I read that there has been a large increase in registered voters within the last week, and over a third of the number will be aged 18 to 25. The interesting question being, how many of those will venture out if there is bad weather on election day?

            When the Thought Police arrive at your door, think -
            I'm out.

            #38585
            BorisBoris
            Participant
              @boris
              Forumite Points: 0

              Also a lot of the more mature voters make use of postal votes – so they are weather independent.

              Never trust an atom - they make up everything !

              #38586
              Dave RiceDave Rice
              Participant
                @ricedg
                Forumite Points: 7

                Studies show it doesn’t make a material difference. It’s all guess work.

                #38601
                Bob WilliamsBob Williams
                Participant
                  @bullstuff2
                  Forumite Points: 0

                  Everything about this election, its root causes and those who participate in its shoddy administration, is guesswork Dave.

                  When the Thought Police arrive at your door, think -
                  I'm out.

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