Forumite Members › General Topics › Politics › UK › Will TIG totally wipe out the Lib's?
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The VFM Addict.
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February 23, 2019 at 8:50 am #31056
While Vince Cable has welcomed the birth of the TIG the latest opinion poll by Opinium has 75% (yes 75%) of those who voted Liberal in 2017 GE saying there is a need for a new centre-ground political party in Britain. Given this the Libs could be pretty much wiped out in constituencies where TIG stand.
No wonder Cable has been trying to get the TIG to agree to a non-aggression pact where neither fights against the other. But in that it now seems that Lib held seat could be very fertile ground indeed for a TIG candidate I can’t see them ever agreeing to such a pact.
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February 23, 2019 at 10:25 am #31057Have the Libs been anything to worry about for anyone since Clegg jumped into bed with Cameron and sacrificed the Lib’s soul?
Arch Linux, on a Ryzen 7 1800X, 32 GB, 5 (yes -5) HDs inc 5 SSDs, 4 RPi 3Bs + 1 RPi 4B - one as an NFS server with two more drives, PiHole (shut yours), Plex server, cloud server, and other random Pi stuff. Nice CoolerMaster case, 2 x NV GTX 1070 8GB, and a whopping 32" AOC 1440P monitor.
February 23, 2019 at 3:46 pm #31071Well considering at the minute the TIG are candidates that are in power and has resigned from a main party, I don’t think the Liberals have anything to fear.
It’s not like we’re ever taken seriously anyhow.
"Everything looks interesting until you do it. Then you find it’s just another job" - Terry Pratchett
February 24, 2019 at 10:49 am #31082The Crazy and Fickle Young
Let me start by saying that crazy or not the young are as entitled to their opinions as anyone. I would defend that right. Nonetheless I continue to be surprised whenever I review opinion poll data at how totally erratic and self contradictory the young are.
I have just been looking at the latest DeltaPoll, the full data from which is available here. Certain things sprung off the pages as I read it.
Given that 18-24 year olds are so anti-Brexit it seemed quite self-contradictory that when asked who would make the best next leader of the Tories, that age group listed Jason R-M as their number one choice. But it then got even more crazy.
Quite clearly DeltaPoll were trying to assess which age groups have the best and least grasp of politics and the major players. Folks were given a list of names and asked who would make the best leader of TIG. There were of course reasonably likely candidates such as Chukka but also numerous unlikely and bizarre candidates such as a particular Google Vice-President and a past UK War Monger, in the persons of Clegg and Blair respectively. However, to make the test even more revealing a certain large ear’d football commentator was also in the mix, none other that Gary L. The results among 18-24’s were that Clegg came out on top, Luciana Berger and Tom Watson(!) came joint second, Cameron and Spreadsheet Phil joint third, with Chukka and Lineker in joint fourth. Poor Chukka. No chance of him scoring he is plainly OFF-SIDE!!! For the record, in the 24-35 age group Lineker actually won by a country mile scoring twice as many votes as any other two candidates put together. GOAL !!! Can’t help but wonder if the dramatic fall off of Clegg in this group derives from his betrayal and the large Uni Debts many of that age group may now be carrying.
Having digested all the data I was left concluding that either the majority of the young have no idea of who is who and of what is going on – or – they have an almost sadistic sense of humour. WICKED!!!
What did terrify me though was the verdict of the young when asked – ‘Putting aside any support for a political party you may have, which of the following do you think would be best for the British economy?’ Almost twice as many chose Labour as chose the Tories. (Of course such might have been influenced by Brexit issues and the poll includes no control that would allow such to be ruled out.)
Returning finally to the specific title of this very thread; certainly in the 18-24 years olds TIG has the potential to utterly bury the Liberals. Voting intentions (by numbers not by %) were Con:23, Lab:44, TIG:28 and Lib:2. For completeness, UKIP:1, Greens:1; SNP:1
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February 24, 2019 at 11:27 am #31084Tbh I don’t think men mature ever. But to give us a bit of credit, I’d lower that to 30. I don’t think I even felt like an adult untill 30, even though by then I was married, had kids, been a marine, gone back to uni and was self employed.
Probably wasn’t untill my wife first fell ill I felt liek I had to step up. Before then she was the adult, and I just done what she said. Or rather know how far my boundaries was. Though I bet she felt similar. We’re all just sort of winging it.
No one one ever tells you at 18, that you may be an adult, but your a actually far from one.
February 24, 2019 at 12:06 pm #31085Tbh I don’t think men mature ever. But to give us a bit of credit, I’d lower that to 30. I don’t think I even felt like an adult untill 30, even though by then I was married, had kids, been a marine, gone back to uni and was self employed. Probably wasn’t untill my wife first fell ill I felt liek I had to step up. Before then she was the adult, and I just done what she said. Or rather know how far my boundaries was. Though I bet she felt similar. We’re all just sort of winging it. No one one ever tells you at 18, that you may be an adult, but your a actually far from one.
I agree – but with a slightly different skew.
I didn’t get married until I was 31 and throughout my 20’s I was an adult, but lived my life as somewhat of a grown up kid. I had a job that paid the bills, I had a flat of my own, I’d had a couple of bikes, more than a few cars, I answered to no-one, did what I wanted, when I wanted – I was spoilt – and maybe a tad selfish.
That all changed when I got married, and once again when we had our son – you acquire new responsibilities. The only person I had been responsible for, or to, up to then was myself.
The expression ” Boys and their toys” applied to me in my youth and in my 20’s and I could afford to let it influence my choices. Come my 30’s and married life and fatherhood took precedence on my choices and options. Now I’m ‘sort of’ retired those choices and options are open again – the only difference is the wife joins in the conversation!! ?? She also has her ‘wish list’ which we balance against mine, but the boy is still looking for ( and getting ) his toys!!!??
February 24, 2019 at 12:07 pm #31086I know what you mean, Duke. Frankly, I’m over retirement age and still don’t feel grown up…………..LOL
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February 24, 2019 at 3:54 pm #31088@VFM I think you are wrong to just criticize the young.
The General Public in general have very little interest in politicians. If you ever watch the inane ‘Pointless’ TV show at 5:15 and name an MP ‘who has done this or that in such and such years’ then at least 80% of the general public haven’t got a clue if it isn’t TBLiar or Churchill as an answer. Name (say) any Home Secretary and the correct responses drop to 15% or lower.
‘Pointless’ state they use representative samples from the UK population.
February 24, 2019 at 4:34 pm #31089I agree that all age groups are lacking re their political knowledge. However, if one thinks of one’s own younger years I am sure you would concede that you knew far less then about politics and the contemporaneous politicians than you do now of politics and those in power now.
So, don’t get me wrong, Ed, I am not specifically slagging off today’s young. Indeed they probably know more than did the young in our day. But overall it is surely so that the young in general know less about politicians and politics than do older individuals. I would bet that the viewing audience of all heavily political TV programs from Marr to Newsnight to QuestionTime, etc., and radio listeners from LBC or Any Question? exhibit an older demographic. The young are typically too busy socially or studying for exams, etc., to sit in the comfy chair so to speak.
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During the Covid-19 Epidemic I will be wearing a mask and goggles while posting so that if I become infected I won't spread it to you.
February 24, 2019 at 6:44 pm #31092However, if one thinks of one’s own younger years ……
Actually no, as I was brought up in the generation of protest. Many young people knew just as much as the older folk and probably more about the world in general as our teachers served in the War years, but the pressures to conform were huge and suppression was palpable.
Friends who joined in protest movements were noticeably less likely to get employed, and there was a well-whispered (and subsequently proven accurate) questionably legal black-list of such individuals. This blacklist ranged to my knowledge from political firebrands to naive fellow travellers. This was mainly applied in the engineering industries particularly construction. It was not applied equally as Jack Straw featured on that list!
February 25, 2019 at 12:40 am #31093What did terrify me though was the verdict of the young when asked – ‘Putting aside any support for a political party you may have, which of the following do you think would be best for the British economy?’ Almost twice as many chose Labour as chose the Tories.
Perhaps that’s because the Tories have screwed the country for the last nine years, and have allowed food bank use and child poverty to increase while austerity is supposedly helping us?
February 25, 2019 at 10:26 am #31094+1 too many old pharts have been protected by the Conservatives at the expense of the future. There is an old saying : “You reap what you sow”.
Maybe this link will help some understand why many of the young generation are close to revolution.
February 25, 2019 at 1:47 pm #31096I think you forget on whose watch the Banking Crisis of 2008 occurred or who in legend left a note saying all the money was gone when leaving office. Today the economy is outpacing Germany’s with higher predicted growth than theirs and we have the highest levels of employment on records with 60,000 less people on zero hour contracts than a year ago. There is real wage growth with increases outstripping inflation.
Perhaps in a way you make my point for me Tippon making the error of confusing how the economy performs with how that income (revenue income) is spent (i.e. austerity). I agree that revenue is not being well spent but its generation cannot currently be faulted.
Brexit factors aside, either way, the Business World dreads a Corbyn & Mc Donnell style socialist government. Inward investment which has been steady despite Brexit fears will plummet. It will not favour higher taxes and the sword of nationalisation constantly overhead. But perhaps the young need to learn the hard way and past experience has shown over and over that it is the economic crashes that occur under the left that result in a rectifying government of the right to eventually replace it and the need for austerity.
The pendulum that constantly swings tends to follow the rule of an equal and opposite reaction. Corbyn and McDonnell if they get in are farther to the left than this country has ever seen. The correction that would be needed to follow it I suspect would necessitate austerity like we have not seen since the late forties immediately after WW2; and far worse than that of the last decade.
I have not the slightest doubt whatsoever that were Brexit not fogging the issues at present folks here would be expressing close to terror at the thought of a Corbyn/McDonnell Labour government. It was not that long ago that Dave (ricedg) was adamant that it Corbyn ever got in he would leave the country. Such was his acknowledgement of the damage Corbyn would cause.
What of the middle-ground? Well the TIGGERS include the likes of Soubry who voted for every austerity measure without exception as almost without exception so did Heidi Allen and Woolaston. No salvation there then.
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During the Covid-19 Epidemic I will be wearing a mask and goggles while posting so that if I become infected I won't spread it to you.
February 25, 2019 at 2:14 pm #31101By austerity do you mean ‘swingeing spending cuts for everyone!! – except for us and our mates/sponsors!!’??
If so you could be right – oh it seems you already are.
The fear and trepidation held by people like myself – long standing labour supporters – of the prospect of a Corbyn/McDonnell government ( which is a Momentum government in all but name ) have been expressed on here and on other topics.
We agree on that but don’t need to hear how your ” ….rectifying government of the right to eventually replace it and the need for austerity.” will save the country, because what has it done for the NHS, teachers, Police, welfare, railways, etc over the past 9 years.
February 25, 2019 at 2:37 pm #31105It was outpacing on a percentage basis because it has slipped so much in the last three years. 3022.82 in 2014 down to 2622.43 in 2018 — does not seem so good when you see it that way heh!
February 25, 2019 at 3:58 pm #31112Interesting link Ed, but those young people are from the South East. Up here and in other areas, our young are just trying to get educational qualifications and/or work, wherever and whenever they can. I liken the views of the young man featured, to my own attraction to Communism at 15. Followed by complete rejection of all it stood for, when I realised the truth.
I believe that most MP’s are currently thinking about keeping their seats as a priority. They are akin to sheep: if only a few adventurous ones, looking for greener grass, go through the hedge, the majority will favour the status quo. If and when the quo is no longer status, they will imitate rats departing a sinking vessel.
Ed, your brow is in the stratosphere when disparaging Pointless: I like the show, it’s harmless entertainment. Obviously you have not seen some of the younger ones who are obviously well educated. Admittedly there are some with less intelligence and knowledge than others, that’s life. TV shows that I do not like, I don’t watch, which includes Soaps, but I don’t judge the intelligence of people by their viewing habits.
When the Thought Police arrive at your door, think -
I'm out.February 25, 2019 at 4:34 pm #31113And again we have the mantra that the crash was Labours fault. As you very well know it wasn’t. The there’s no money left has been a long standing joke on handing over. Would the Tories have let the banks go to the wall? The fiscally responsible party is about to do the most fiscally irresponsible act possible, right after shafting the little people for years with the farce of trickle down “Reaganomics”. Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, have admitted that Osbornes austerity policies were wrong, based on a flawed spreadsheet calculation.
The “sword of nationalisation”, what right wing piffle. Most of the nation wants the railways back in public hands and what’s left of the Post Office as was. How much of our infrastructure is owned by foreign companies? Better ask how much is left in UK hands, the same for aerospace, car industry and railway. It’s been sold off to the highest bidder, including foreign governments.
On GWR I see American and Spanish engines on freight, Swiss ABB on local trains along with Hitachi bullet trains. Deregulation has been a disaster for us public transport users, we are not allowed to have a Transport for London type local government body never mind have all that money spent on us. We have no public toilets now in Bristol, few libraries and fewer swimming baths. Lets not get started on the local police and health services shall we?
You’re right, I have absolutely no desire to see Corbyn in power but I have less to see The Tories carry on another day wrecking the place for their own selfish ends. My escape route to Europe has been well and truly cut, not least by the exchange rate, so it looks like I’m stuck here.
February 25, 2019 at 4:38 pm #31114Alexander Armstrong is a very funny comedian, Richard Osman has a sense of comedic timing and quick-fire humour which is almost as laboured as mine. Other than that, no criticism of the show was intended, it was just an attempt to show that the General Public’s knowledge and interest in the Politicians is pretty dire.
I can’t say I blame them given the calibre of our present shower of incompetents.
February 25, 2019 at 5:04 pm #31117BTW the key stat to look for is economic inactivity (not unemployment, but essentially unemployable for one reason or another). That runs around 20% for all regions and was excluded (by sleight of hand) from the historic unemployment figures.
“Over the year, the region with the largest increase in the economic inactivity rate estimate was the South East at 1.1 percentage points, followed by the East of England at 0.3 percentage points. The region with the largest decrease in the inactivity rate estimate was Wales at 3.2 percentage points”
February 25, 2019 at 7:57 pm #31120By austerity do you mean ‘swingeing spending cuts for everyone!! – except for us and our mates/sponsors!!’?? If so you could be right – oh it seems you already are. The fear and trepidation held by people like myself – long standing labour supporters – of the prospect of a Corbyn/McDonnell government ( which is a Momentum government in all but name ) have been expressed on here and on other topics. We agree on that but don’t need to hear how your ” ….rectifying government of the right to eventually replace it and the need for austerity.” will save the country, because what has it done for the NHS, teachers, Police, welfare, railways, etc over the past 9 years.
I did not intend to suggest that the ‘rectification’ took things to where they should be or that such as you put it, would “save the country”. I had thought my analogy with a pendulum and how a swing too far in one damaging direction results is and equal an opposite swing in the other would have made that clear that the other is equally damaging. Neither extreme is desirable. It is merely inevitable in major part because our FPTP electoral system of its very nature is not one conducive to balance.
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